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2024-12-14 11:12:21
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In the evening, the CPI data of Laomei is in line with expectations, and the probability of interest rate cuts will increase greatly next week, but today's A-shares are still faltering in early trading! Obviously, the external positive has been desensitized to A-shares, but a sudden positive in the session directly pulled the market back to the upward trend, so can A-shares continue to rise tomorrow? The 3500-point battle is reopened?A-shares: A sudden positive reversal of black Thursday, tomorrow, the stock market will once again break through 3500 points?Judging from the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's A-shares can break the curse of Black Thursday, mainly because at 11 o'clock, it announced the great benefits of personal pensions. After-hours, another heavy meeting was held. Although deficit ratio and the ultra-long-term special national debt were mentioned, Lao Liu reminded me that before the small high point of 3494.87 points was not broken, it was not appropriate to blindly chase up.


However, if we continue to shake and consolidate below this point, the risk of the broader market will not be great, so let me remind you that before the logic of judging the small high point has not changed, we can continue to watch more and move less. After all, today's reversal is mainly driven by favorable+mysterious funds entering the market, rather than the real offensive kinetic energy of the market.In the evening, the CPI data of Laomei is in line with expectations, and the probability of interest rate cuts will increase greatly next week, but today's A-shares are still faltering in early trading! Obviously, the external positive has been desensitized to A-shares, but a sudden positive in the session directly pulled the market back to the upward trend, so can A-shares continue to rise tomorrow? The 3500-point battle is reopened?Emotionally, there are 139 stocks with daily limit, 5 stocks with daily limit and 65 stocks with a drop of more than 5% in the two cities. The data shows that the expected differences were not staged as scheduled because of the favorable stimulus, but the situation of high-standard stocks' nuclear buttons and broken boards continued to deteriorate. At present, the main risks are still focused on stocks that have risen recently, and it is basically safe not to chase after them.


Secondly, consumption and robot differentiation, low-priced stocks shrink to attract more judgments unchanged. Today was supposed to be a day to test the relay funds, but the favorable blessing has renewed the life of the hot money. After Thiel's board broke yesterday and fell today, it also broke today, and low-priced stocks continued to shrink to a new high. Let's not talk about more. Under the low tide, the fast-running game is expected to be staged at any time.Finally, the 5-day support is still the same, and then focus on 3489.78 points. Today, the Shanghai Composite Index continued to repair and rebound on the 5th line, and at the same time, it has broken through the middle line suppression of the false negative line on Tuesday, but the key point is to see whether the next closing price can stand at 3489.78 points. I still hold the same view as before. If the daily line closes at 3,489.78 points, we should focus on prevention after the departure signal appears.

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